Doncaster, Friday September 14th 2018, going good,
H. 1.50PM GMT: they will be off and running in the Japan Racing Association Sceptre Stakes, Gr-3, 7f6y, for the 3yo+ fillies and mares, with a total prize money of £ 60,000.
On Wednesday September 12th , first day of the 2018 William Hill St. Leger Meeting, we did pretty well with two winners and two seconds (one beaten a head in a photo – finish).
Yesterday it was a super – disaster: in the endless battle between the layers and the punters, the formers did extremely well, too well, with a positive margin between 30% and 40%, which is very unusual.
During the month of July and August, the bookies in the UK had a margin of, more or less, 3,5%, because hundreds of favourites duly scored for the joy of the punters.
Things are due to change dramatically as soon as the ground will become soft: be careful, even if today the going at Doncaster will change to good.
Having said that, please bear also in mind that, apart from the Royal Meeting at Ascot and the QIPCO Festival of Racing at Goodwood, the other meetings, more or less, are for the bookmakers.
Let’s try to surf among big odds shots, forgetting for a while the favourites, but one.
In this race I strongly suggest you to have an each way bet, at 9/2 or better, on Dancing Star (GB) (Aqlaam), 5, because last time out, at Goodwood, she didn’t get a clear run: her trainer is in decent form.
Don’t forget Eirene (GB) (Declaration Of War) which, at 14/1 could be a good each way.
The pace will be weak and only two favourites out of then won this race in the last ten years.
At 2.25 GMT Wainwright Flying Childers Stakes, Gr-2, 5f3y, for 2yo, with a total prize money of £ 70,000.
I’ll forget about Rumble Inthejungle (IRE) (Bungle Inthejungle), who was recently bought by Cheveley Park Stud for his stallion duties.
Let’s try another each way bet on Gossamer Wings (USA) (Scat Daddy).
She was second in the Queen Mary Stakes at the Royal Meeting, beaten a short head.
Last time out, at the Curragh, she finished second conceding first run to the winner, also having the jockey put 2lb overweight.
She should come from behind.
The pace should be very strong suiting this filly that, at the moment, is 9/1.
Three favourites out of ten won this race in the last ten years.
T 3.35 GMT Doncaster Cup, Gr-2, 2m1f197y, for 3yo+, with a total prize money of £ 100,000.
I fancy Lord Yeats (GB) (Yeats), 5, at 12/1.
Please remember that his sire (by Sadler’s Wells) won the Ascot Gold Cup four times in a row (the only one horse to achieve that result in the history of the British turf) and on that racecourse there is a full size statue featuring him.
Lord Yeats ran a decent race in the Ebor Handicap at York, not beaten far.
Trust me, this race is quite open.
Four favourites out of ten won this race in the last ten years.
At 4.05 GMT Weatherbys Global Stallions App Flying Scotsman, Listed, 7f6y, for 2yo, with a total prize money of £ 30,000.
Sangarus (GB) (Kingman), trained by Sir Michael Stoute, ridden by Ryan Moore, with the top rating of 112P (the capital P means that the horse is almost certainly capable of much better), at 8/11, will take a lot of beating.
His sire Kingman (GB) (Invincible Spirit) has his first crop of 2-Y-O running and his doing extremely well: remember Calyx (GB), unbeaten in two starts and the winner of the Queen Mary Stakes, at the Royal Ascot, who unfortunately is at the moment side-lined.
Good luck!